Research

Our research methodology integrates historical and current economic, demographic and real estate factors which enables our Research Services department to develop comprehensive market forecast scenarios.

Research Brief: Retail Sales – February 2024

Dual retail categories buck the larger trend. In January, for the first time since March of last year, core retail sales fell on a monthly basis, a reflection of more consumers avoiding big-ticket, discretionary purchases. The 0.5 percent decline in core spending, however, overshadowed sales at restaurants and bars, as well as grocery stores, which each rose in both real and nominal terms last month to record levels. Collectively, the two categories accounted for…

Research Brief: Inflation – February 2024

Inflation metrics present mixed bag. The headline Consumer Price Index rose 3.1 percent over the year ended January, down 30 basis points from the December reading. Falling energy prices and flattening costs for food helped slow inflation, as supply chains remained fluid despite ongoing global conflict. However, when stripping these indices out, the core CPI measure held at 3.9 percent over the year ended January, the same annual rate as last month. While sustained core pricing… Read More

DELINQUENCY RATES AND CRE

Does CRE delinquency offer investors an opportunity or a risk? How prospective Federal Reserve rate reductions could mitigate risk What the media headlines don’t tell you

WHAT INFLATION MEANS FOR INVESTORS

Why the Fed will slow-play rate reductions Key portfolio strategies investors can use this year Why investors need to “roll-up-the-sleeves” in 2024

Yahoo! Finance – Why CRE Investors Are Cautiously Optimistic

Yahoo! Finance Features Marcus & Millichap CEO Hessam Nadji Key Trends Supporting Rising Investor Sentiment  The key trends bolstering CRE sentiment and why so much capital is targeting the sector. Which catalysts are likely to increase transactions? The challenges and opportunities facing multifamily investors. Why retail real estate has become a leading investment opportunity.

EMPLOYMENT MARKET AND THE FED

Which employment sectors are outperforming? How employment trends impact the CRE property outlook What challenges could impact the Federal Reserve’s decisions on interest rates?

Research Brief: Employment – February 2024

The year kicks off with strong job growth. Total employment rose by 353,000 in January, the largest increase since the same month in 2023, and similar to the 333,000 roles added in December. Unemployment held steady at 3.7 percent for the third month in a row despite this increase. Job gains predominantly occurred in…

INSIGHTS FROM THE NMHC CONFERENCE

Why investors at NMHC Conference believe transaction activity will increase in 2024 What the Fed’s January policy decision means for investors The key forces influencing investor decisions in 2024

2024 MULTIFAMILY INVESTMENT FORECAST BOOK

Demand for Multifamily Housing Improving Amid Durable Economy, But Benefits Disguised by Ample New Supply Following a year of above-expectation economic growth, momentum appears to support sturdy, albeit modest, gains in 2024. Against this generally positive backdrop, the multifamily sector is contending with its own dynamics, chief among them being the challenge of record new supply. How each market responds to this and other issues will be unique. The 2024 National Multifamily Investment Forecast offers… Read More