TWO FORCES DRIVING THE CRE OUTLOOK
Why the Fed’s dual mandate is the most important force driving CRE today Why slowing job creation is good for CRE Will the Fed raise rates again this year?
FOURTH QUARTER REAL ESTATE INVESTOR LUNCHEON | In-Person Event: Thursday, December 12th at 12:00 PM | Click HERE to RSVP
Our research methodology integrates historical and current economic, demographic and real estate factors which enables our Research Services department to develop comprehensive market forecast scenarios.
Why the Fed’s dual mandate is the most important force driving CRE today Why slowing job creation is good for CRE Will the Fed raise rates again this year?
Labor market dynamics becoming more familiar. Job growth in August tallied 187,000 positions, one of the slowest months for hiring in the pandemic recovery period. Headcounts declined in the information and transportation sectors, heavily influenced by Hollywood strikes and the bankruptcy of trucking company Yellow. Even without these one-off factors, the labor market is displaying clear signs of returning to…
Bloomberg Features Marcus & Millichap CEO Hessam Nadji The Challenged Office Sector – What’s Needed For Recovery • Why commercial real estate distress on banks may be overstated • Which office properties are performing best and worst • Which property types face the lowest distress risk and why • The valuation disconnect – how prices are adjusting
How investors are adapting to the market How recent headlines are hiding market perspective The window of opportunity that may soon close
“Supercore” CPI at favorable level. The headline consumer price index increased by 3.2 percent year-over-year in July, trending up slightly from June’s 3.0 percent reading. Accelerated cost increases for food and some forms of energy ticked up the headline statistic for the first time since June 2022. While this could signal a bumpier inflation path ahead, market expectations for a continued CPI slowdown are anchored by a…
Rising Insurance Costs and New Policy Limitations Erode Commercial Real Estate Owners’ Margins The accelerated cost of insurance is impacting the commercial real estate sector on multiple fronts. Heightened premiums are raising overall apartment expenses for owners, making it more difficult for developers to underwrite projects. Cost spikes are also altering property valuations, impacting deal flow in states with higher environmental risk factors. Key Features Include: Impact of rising insurance costs on apartment expenses, property… Read More
Thrifty consumers purchasing school supplies well in advance. Store-based retail sales, which exclude purchases made online and at restaurants and bars, rose 0.6 percent in July — the largest monthly gain since January. An earlier start to the back-to-school shopping season aided retailers last month, with combined spending across the…
Job growth returns to more familiar, positive territory. Employers added 187,000 new positions in July, the second-slowest month for employment growth since December 2020, when staff counts retracted. July’s hiring was nevertheless still 61,000 roles ahead of the monthly average going back to 1980. The drawback in job creation was not unexpected, as the 9.6 million open positions in June was the lowest in two years. Together, these statistics reflect a downshift in…
What’s driving the surge in confidence levels? Why Wall Street thinks the Fed will keep rates flat Are forces beginning to align to bolster CRE activity?
How does sales activity compare to the long-term norm? Which buyers are most active? What unique opportunities are being created?