WHERE IS DISTRESS RISK IN TODAY’S CRE MARKET?
CRE investment strategies that face higher risk Areas of the CRE investment spectrum facing the greatest headwinds Will a “snowball” of CRE distress begin to form?
Our research methodology integrates historical and current economic, demographic and real estate factors which enables our Research Services department to develop comprehensive market forecast scenarios.
CRE investment strategies that face higher risk Areas of the CRE investment spectrum facing the greatest headwinds Will a “snowball” of CRE distress begin to form?
Employers continuing to hire, but at tapering pace. The economy welcomed 236,000 new positions in March, the slowest month for job creation since a net loss in December 2020. Hiring was led by the leisure and hospitality sector, along with additions in health care, the public sector, and professional and business services. These gains offset job losses in retail trade, construction and manufacturing. Overall, while last month’s hiring is well above the long-term average, it falls… Read More
Marcus & Millichap CEO Hessam Nadji featured on Fox Business Why home buyers remain on the sidelines and what will trigger their return The recent apartment rent growth downturn and what to expect for 2023 The events that will spark a revival of apartment demand, and how investors can capitalize
Yahoo Finance Features Marcus & Millichap CEO Hessam Nadji Reduced size of rate increase and outlook suggests end to tightening cycle nearing Factors impacting CRE values and trading activity Trend variations by property type: How real estate has adapted to the many challenges and headwinds of the past and what’s ahead
Could emerging cracks in the labor market influence future Fed rate hikes? Why a softening labor market could be a positive for CRE Which types of companies are shrinking their recruiting efforts?
Banking shock prompts Fed to take a more measured approach. At its March 22 meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee raised the federal funds rate for the ninth time in 12 months. The 25-basis-point hike matches the margin from February and lifts the lending rate’s lower bound to 4.75 percent. The FOMC cited still-too-high inflation and a persistently tight labor market as reasons for necessitating the increase, which is nevertheless below what was anticipated by… Read More
Job growth continues at generally swift pace. Employers added a net 311,000 personnel to payrolls in February, down from January’s robust 504,000-position gain, but still above the long-term monthly average. Hiring was likely aided by an expansion to the labor pool last month, leading to a 10-basis-point uptick in the unemployment rate to 3.6 percent. Despite this slight increase to unemployment and a slowdown in job growth, the labor market is still showing…
How much CRE debt will come due in 2023? Could CRE defaults spark a wave of bank failures? How much of the total CRE debt do regional and small banks really hold?
How Federal Reserve policy shift could revive investment activity Could interest rate clarity help close the buyer/seller expectation gap? How investors can capitalize on the new interest rate outlook
Consumers place an emphasis on necessities. Total retail sales dropped 0.4 percent in February. However, store-based spending — which excludes purchases made online and at restaurants and bars — reached a record mark. This contrast indicates consumers may be prioritizing the purchase of necessities when visiting brick-and-mortar retailers, a dynamic that has positive implications for…