Research

Our research methodology integrates historical and current economic, demographic and real estate factors which enables our Research Services department to develop comprehensive market forecast scenarios.

Yahoo Finance – Rising Interest Rates Pose Challenge to CRE Valuations; Investors Adapt Strategies to Evolving Climate.

Yahoo Finance Features Marcus & Millichap President and CEO Hessam Nadji Rising Interest Rates Pose Challenge to CRE Valuations; Investors Adapt Strategies to Evolving Climate Fed’s message against inflation points to significant slowdown Strong employment fundamentals positive factor for CRE Rising interest rates moderating post-pandemic CRE surge, valuations recalibrating Housing pullback from unprecedented surge; bolsters rental demand Offices still facing headwinds, many owners adapting creatively

Research Brief: Financial Markets – September 2022

Federal Reserve enacts fifth rate hike of the year. Following accelerated core CPI inflation and ongoing above-average hiring last month, the Federal Reserve raised the overnight lending rate 75 basis points at its September meeting. This is the third consecutive rate hike of this magnitude, extending the target range of the federal funds rate above 3 percent. September also marked an increase in the level of Fed balance sheet reductions, to an estimated $95 billion… Read More

Research Brief: Retail Sales – September 2022

Pair of drivers back positive retail momentum. Store-based retail sales, which exclude automotive and gas purchases, as well as those made online or at bars and restaurants, ascended to a record mark in August. Much of this gain, however, was likely driven by rising prices, as inflation has sustained levels above 7 percent so far this year. Nevertheless, even after adjusting for inflation, core retail sales are up nearly 19 percent from the pre-pandemic tally,… Read More

Research Brief: Inflation – September 2022

Headline and core inflation trend in opposite directions. In August, the headline Consumer Price Index recorded a year-over-year increase of 8.3 percent, slightly below the 8.5 percent rise recorded the month prior. The core CPI measure, excluding food and energy, advanced at a faster pace, however, ascending 6.3 percent year-over-year in August compared to 5.9 percent in July. This dichotomy is due to the influence of a sharp drop in gasoline prices on the headline… Read More

Research Brief: Employment – September 2022

Last month’s employment report ideal for Fed objectives. Employers added 315,000 personnel to payrolls in August, below the 526,000 jobs created in the previous month, but well above historical averages. The month-over-month hiring slowdown, together with a slight increase to unemployment, lowers the likelihood of a 75-basis-point rate hike at the next Federal Reserve meeting in favor of a smaller margin. The central bank is still likely to raise the overnight lending rate at least one… Read More

TD Ameritrade – CRE Market Strong through Second Quarter; Investors Adapting to Market Forces as Headwinds Emerge

TD Ameritrade Features Marcus & Millichap CEO Hessam Nadji CRE Market Strong through Second Quarter; Investors Adapting to Market Forces as Headwinds Emerge What higher interest rates mean for CRE and how investors are recalibrating strategies Key drivers maintain support for CRE, but headwinds emerging The long-term implications of the hybrid work model and the forces that will revive demand Key strategies driving Marcus & Millichap’s growth plan

Yahoo Finance – Commercial Real Estate in a Rising Interest Rate Climate; Market Forces and the Opportunities Investors See

Yahoo Finance Features Marcus & Millichap President and CEO Hessam Nadji Commercial Real Estate in a Rising Interest Rate Climate; Market Forces and the Opportunities Investors See Buyer and seller expectation gap widening, but underlying space demand remains sound The implications of the hybrid work environment and forces that could bring balance How investors are targeting a spectrum of opportunities and value-add strategies How tighter lending standards are impacting financing availability

Research Brief: Retail Sales – August 2022

Dual factors lift sales. Accelerated hiring and lower prices at the gas pump aided spending in July, with core retail sales now up 29 percent relative to pre-pandemic. The addition of 528,000 positions last month pushed the U.S. employment base beyond the previous February 2020 level, while the Consumer Price Index was unchanged on a month-over-month basis, aided by a 7.7 percent decrease in gas prices. These factors helped offset the impacts of historically low… Read More

Research Brief: Inflation – August 2022

Inflation trend may be turning corner. The headline Consumer Price Index in July was up 8.5 percent compared to a year prior, a deceleration from the 9.1 percent year-over-year jump recorded in June. This slowdown was driven predominantly by a month-over-month decline in energy prices, led by a 7.7 percent drop in the gas price component of the index. The costs of other items, most notably food, continued to rise however. Setting aside energy and… Read More