Research

Our research methodology integrates historical and current economic, demographic and real estate factors which enables our Research Services department to develop comprehensive market forecast scenarios.

CNBC: Prospects of an Office Market Recovery?

CNBC Features Marcus & Millichap President and CEO Hessam Nadji Prospects of an Office Market Recovery? Office sector disruption extends into 2022 Top performing office markets Implications of rising real estate allocations Investors adapt strategies  

Barron’s – Economic Recovery Delivers Range of CRE Opportunities

Barron’s Features Marcus & Millichap President and CEO Hessam Nadji Economic Recovery Delivers Range of CRE Opportunities Investors choosing recovery strategies see opportunity in revival and repositioning Continued growth for investors leveraging momentum strategies The economic recovery supports all real estate sectors, widening the reward spectrum Why current financial market and commercial real estate dynamics have created unique options  

Bloomberg News – Recovery Cycle Boosts Commercial Real Estate

Bloomberg News Features Marcus & Millichap President and CEO Hessam Nadji Recovery Cycle Boosts Commercial Real Estate How the pandemic broadened the real estate risk/reward spectrum Which property types investors favor and why The urban real estate outlook – trends driving gateway cities The property types that benefit most from rising inflation  

Research Brief: Retail Sales – January 2022

Consumers step back in December. Core retail sales dipped 2.5 percent last month as spending that usually occurs closer to the holidays was spread over a longer shopping season. Furthermore, the highly contagious omicron variant of COVID-19 elevated case counts, keeping more people at home. Retail sales, however, are up 16.5 percent from one year ago and consumers still have more than $5 trillion additional funds in savings and money market accounts. The largest decrease occurred… Read More

Research Brief: Employment – January 2022

In rare feat, unemployment drops below 4 percent. Employers added 199,000 personnel to payrolls in December, below the 2021 monthly average of 537,000 jobs, while the unemployment rate fell 30 basis points to 3.9 percent. Of the past 22 years, fewer than three have been spent with sub-4 percent unemployment. The tight labor market is also reflected in the surplus of job openings, last counted at 10.6 million, compared to 6.3 million people activity seeking work.… Read More

Research Brief: Retail Sales – December 2021

Retail sales continue to float well-above pre-pandemic levels. Consumers acted on holiday shopping plans earlier than normal, resulting in a more moderate improvement in retail spending last month than is typical for this time of year. Core retail sales ticked up 0.2 percent in November, driving the year-over-year gain to an impressive 16.5 percent. Gains in core sales were most pronounced at food and beverage stores, sporting goods, building material retailers and restaurants and bars.… Read More

Research Brief: Employment – December 2021

Lackluster employment growth a sign of tight labor market. Employers added 210,000 personnel in November, below this year’s monthly average of 555,000 jobs. Part of the slowdown was due to modest onboarding in the leisure and hospitality sector. While accounting for roughly 40 percent of all gains made since April 2020, the sector was only responsible for about 10 percent of November’s job creation. Moving forward, a sustained period of elevated employment growth is unlikely. While… Read More

Research Brief: Retail Sales – November 2021

Consumer spending healthy in October. Core retail sales, which excludes gasoline and motor vehicles, rose 1.4 percent last month. Year over year, the increase was 14.9 percent as shoppers are flush with capital from pandemic-relief bills and the economic recovery that has pushed unemployment below 5 percent. Sales at gasoline stations are the most robust, growing nearly 47 percent over the past 12 months. A sharp rise in energy demand due to the return to… Read More

Research Brief: Employment – November 2021

Job creation picks back up. After a slowdown in August and September, hiring improved in October as 531,000 personnel were added to staffs. A downshift in the number of coronavirus infections and the expiration of federal unemployment benefits likely contributed to the greater job creation. Employment growth was most prevalent in the leisure and hospitality sector, predominantly at bars and restaurants, as well as in professional and business services. Last month’s gains helped lower the… Read More

Research Brief: Gross Domestic Product 4Q 2021

Economic recovery downshifts in third quarter. GDP expanded at a 2.0 percent annualized rate in the third quarter as myriad head-winds weighed on growth. Supply chain issues are hampering consumption despite a record level of savings. Additionally, government stimulus from early 2021 that fueled personal expenditures in the second quarter had largely dissipated by the third quarter. Combined with a surge in COVID-19 cases that kept some people at home, these challenges made consumption the largest… Read More